The upper level low which moved across South Florida Sat. was so far south that dry air was advected into Northeast Florida/Southeast Georgia Sat. afternoon putting a squash on any & all convection except for far western parts of the viewing area. Today...the easterly winds have taken over & -- though moisture is still limited but slowly increasing -- scattered showers should come ashore through early afternoon with greater-- though still isolated -- shower/t'storm development farther inland this afternoon. Then a few showers return to coastal/near coastal areas tonight-Mon. morning with a few inland afternoon storms. Overall, however, the dry/hot pattern will persist through much of the upcoming week in what is normally our wettest time of the year. It does look like the approach of a tropical wave by end of the week/next weekend will possibly increase rain. In fact, there's the potential for tropical development during the next 5-10 days in the Southwest Atlantic.
Speaking of which....."Dean" is going to slam Jamaica today-tonight followed by the Cayman Islands & Cancun/Cozumel. It does appear the track will be a little farther south which won't help Jamaica or the Cayman's a whole lot but might give the Islands & Cancun somewhat of a break depending on just how far south the storm ends up...much more south, though, & Belize City will be in trouble. I saw on CNN an interesting website for Jamaica though just how long the site will be updating & running is obviously questionable.
What's left of "Erin" has been fascinating in that the circulation has remained remarkably intact & even appeared to intensity some Sat. night as it moved across land-locked Oklahoma. Damage from wind & flooding in Oklahoma appears to be quite substantial....as it was in Texas. Check out the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center......and the OKC National Weather Service.
Have a great Sunday.....if headed to the beaches, remember that onshore winds will mean a higher rip current risk.
